Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.612362 1.841999 2.092833 2.387189 2.723230 3.094995 3.537645
2025-01-05 1.219275 1.520633 1.879506 2.338540 2.910522 3.600394 4.496759
2025-01-12 0.997296 1.320907 1.729798 2.284701 3.019018 3.958883 5.255783
2025-01-19 0.835015 1.161838 1.595321 2.212863 3.071434 4.225241 5.898061
2025-01-26 0.781422 1.134951 1.624097 2.351068 3.406248 4.885893 7.125797
2025-02-02 0.737957 1.113833 1.653966 2.487765 3.745659 5.578179 8.461969
2025-02-09 0.691684 1.081282 1.660818 2.587009 4.034485 6.218049 9.778384
2025-02-16 0.638289 1.030720 1.633424 2.628048 4.234086 6.736366 10.952729
2025-02-23 0.573298 0.954208 1.556909 2.581755 4.287822 7.027307 11.787329
2025-03-02 0.522733 0.895234 1.501426 2.561753 4.378428 7.379756 12.748312
2025-03-09 0.484422 0.852391 1.467391 2.572376 4.518025 7.820532 13.893025
2025-03-16 0.450877 0.814111 1.436825 2.584676 4.659202 8.272504 15.093794
2025-03-23 0.421008 0.780163 1.411820 2.606520 4.823120 8.785436 16.466641
2025-03-30 0.382930 0.727680 1.349214 2.554500 4.848404 9.053555 17.418197
2025-04-06 0.348238 0.677925 1.286602 2.495604 4.853528 9.281939 18.311425
2025-04-13 0.314814 0.627257 1.217445 2.417097 4.812511 9.417414 19.033371
2025-04-20 0.312573 0.637168 1.264245 2.568139 5.232659 10.473651 21.677739
2025-04-27 0.309741 0.645506 1.308438 2.717538 5.662378 11.584893 24.537412
2025-05-04 0.302275 0.643566 1.331751 2.826008 6.017389 12.575346 27.237384
2025-05-11 0.288763 0.627649 1.325054 2.870862 6.242503 13.316742 29.474588
2025-05-18 0.267315 0.592758 1.275812 2.820265 6.258117 13.618021 30.779268
2025-05-25 0.250298 0.565958 1.241330 2.798404 6.333840 14.053044 32.419224
2025-06-01 0.237497 0.547339 1.222819 2.810015 6.484423 14.662782 34.509369